Here’s The Kicker Race Preview
Here’s the Kicker makes her first official entry at Gulfstream Park in Sunday’s third race. All but one horse are first time starters, which can be difficult to handicap but presents a unique opportunity to study workout and pedigree data. When watching workouts of 2YOs, try to spot a lead change as they come out of the turn. The sooner horses can learn that concept, the better they are on debut.
Taking a look at pedigrees in a race like this can give you a historical advantage to your handicapping. In fact, Here’s the Kicker’s dam Lovesick actually broke her maiden on debut going 4 ½ on the dirt at Gulfstream Park in 2018. First time starters by Liam’s Map going 5 1/2f at Gulfstream 66% of the time, for an average win of over $20. These two key pieces of information give you an advantage in handicapping the rest of the field. Use your $10 signup bonus to play a $3 WPS on #4 Here’s the Kicker.
Adday In Asia Race Preview
Saturday’s fourth race at Keeneland, a $140,000 allowance going a mile on the turf, features Adaay in Asia in the 4 post at 2:36pm eastern. The Belmont shipper looks sharp against a competitive field of seven other fillies and mares. In the last 5 years, horses shipping down from Belmont to Keeneland running in 1M races on the turf win 28% of the time for a ROI of almost 300%.
Her biggest competition will come from Chris Block’s Oeuvre (ooh-vruh) on the inside. Oeuvre looks to be top class from the field of eight, but with jockey Gerardo Corrales in the irons for the first time, her historial late drive could falter without her regular rider. Other late speed in the race comes from #8 Viareggio for trainer Brendan Walsh. Look for the three of them to battle it out in the final furlongs on Keeneland’s turf course. Play a $2 trifecta box with 2/8/4.
Cable Boss Race Overview & Best Bet 10/12
Cable Boss looks to bounce back in career start number three this Thursday following a lackluster effort on Aug. 26 at Horseshoe Indianapolis. Slated at 8-1 on the morning line, Cable Boss will break from post 1 in this maiden special weight going one mile and one-sixteenth over the Horseshoe turf course which is carded as the 7th race. Post time is 5:16 p.m. ET.
Your 3-year-old son of Quality Road appears to have taken a step forward in his recent breezes which our team has been on site for. We are looking forward to seeing if he can run back to a similar effort that he showed on debut. Trainer Brendan Walsh believes it’s a good spot for us and is optimistic about our chances.
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When looking at the Daily Racing Form, it really is a wide-open field of 12 horses.
#2 Cairo’s Ghost (7/2): Has been dispatched as the morning-line favorite at odds of 7/2 but is not a standout by any means. His speed figures fit in this race and he will receive a class relief from the recent field he faced at Churchill where he finished third on Sep.16.
#3 Rodin (20-1): Son of Arrogate makes his debut around two turns which is never easy. The pedigree is there to handle it but history will tell you he will need a race. Trainer is only 5% first time out on the turf and 0% debuting over a mile or more.
#4 Channel Z (5-1): Was unable to break through even when facing maiden claiming competition at Horseshoe in five separate occurrences but does exit a career-best effort, running a 69 Beyer Speed Figure, at the maiden special weight level. Leaning to play against this one but if he can repeat the effort, he has to be considered a threat.
#5 Lyte Crude (10-1): Gulfstream Park invader has a handful of races which made him a player here and arguably the biggest danger despite his morning line. He does move into a barn which is winless this year from 84 starts and is an obvious concern. Still shouldn’t be overlooked.
#6 Great Barrier (30-1): Very dangerous connections but this one has shown nothing. The surface switch would need to be the answer and his pedigree suggests he would like it. His half-sibling Bubble Rock was a 2x graded stake winner on turf and competed in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf.
#7 Saturday Long Legs (12-1): Best races have come at Belterra Park. Blinkers added on for the first time but this one appears too slow.
#8 Border Patrol (10-1): In a race that lacks pace, this one could get a favorable trip close to the front end. If he does that makes him interesting otherwise we would be more fearful of others.
#9 American Raider (8-1): Son of American Pharoah has to be considered simply based on the circuit switch. Did absolutely no running most recently off an eight-month layoff but as a 2-year-old was showed some ability.
#10 Presider (6-1): Hard to imagine the connections are just trying to the turf for the first time after six main track tries. Dam was a 3x time winner on turf and produced 3x turf stake winner Front Run the Fed (current earnings of $736k). Sire, Connect, only strikes at a 9% win rate on the turf but the female line currently suggests he may like the lawn.
#11 Guadalajara (15-1): Following four failed tries on the dirt, connections switch things up and try the turf. Dam has had nine runners on the turf thus far with zero winners. Looking elsewhere.
#12 Raven’s Nest (10-1): Failed to fire in his comeback race at Kentucky Downs but put in two okay efforts early on in his 3-year-old season. Not sure what to expect here.
Our friends at 1/ST Bet have put together a ticket for Cable Boss’ race tomorrow which can be seen above. Don’t forget to sign up with 1/ST BET using the MyRacehorse exclusive code MY1000. You’ll get an instant $10 bonus, plus up to a $1,000 rebate in your first 90 days! Click here to learn more.